Statistics and Data Science Seminar

Qingshuo Song
Worcester Polytechnic Institute
Solving a class of time-inconsistent problems
Abstract: The characterization of the efficient frontier in Markowitz portfolio optimization is to minimize a linear combination of mean and variance of the terminal stock price. Such a problem is known as the time-inconsistent optimization and the main difficulty is due to the failure of the dynamic programming principle. The existing approaches are game-theoretic framework and decoupling techniques on its FBSDE formulation. In this talk, we will discuss an alternative approach. The key observation is to identify the linear-quadratic structure of the underlying optimization as a function of probability distribution. This leads to explicit solutions of a class of master equations, which provides the optimal strategy to a class of time-inconsistent optimizations. Some extensions to partially observed systems will be considered briefly if time is permitted. The discussion is based on a manuscript available at https://arxiv.org/pdf/1910.05236.pdf.
Wednesday October 7, 2020 at 4:00 PM in Zoom
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